Ripple’s $20 Billion Offer for Circle Faces Hurdles Amid IPO Plans and Coinbase Stake

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The cryptocurrency world is buzzing once again with rumors of a major acquisition that could reshape the stablecoin landscape. Ripple, the company behind the XRP Ledger and known for its cross-border payment solutions, is reportedly attempting to acquire Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin. Initial speculation placed Ripple’s offer between $4 billion and $5 billion—valuing Circle in line with its upcoming IPO plans. But now, new reports suggest Ripple has dramatically increased its bid to $20 billion, a figure that has sparked widespread debate across the crypto community.

Despite the eye-popping number, no official confirmation has been made by either Ripple or Circle. What is confirmed, however, is that Circle has taken a major step toward going public. On April 1, 2025, the company filed its S-1 registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), signaling its intent to list on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker symbol CRCL. JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup are serving as lead underwriters for the anticipated summer IPO.

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This public listing move suggests Circle is confident in its long-term value and regulatory positioning—especially as the U.S. inches closer to comprehensive stablecoin legislation. The STABLE GENIUS Act, currently under congressional consideration, aims to create a federal framework for dollar-backed stablecoins like USDC. If passed, it could solidify USDC’s dominance and boost investor confidence in Circle’s valuation.

Why Did Circle Reject Ripple’s Initial $5 Billion Offer?

Circle’s decision to reject Ripple’s original $4–5 billion offer makes more sense in light of its IPO strategy. According to pro-XRP attorney John Deaton, who closely monitors regulatory developments in the crypto space, Circle is aiming for a post-IPO valuation that could surpass **$9 billion**—the target it previously set during a failed SPAC merger attempt in 2022.

That earlier effort fell through amid shifting market conditions and tightening regulatory scrutiny. Today, however, the environment appears more favorable. With growing institutional adoption and clearer regulatory signals, Circle may believe it can achieve—or even exceed—that $9 billion benchmark without needing to sell to another crypto firm.

Moreover, Deaton argues that a valuation exceeding $10 billion isn’t out of reach, especially if the STABLE GENIUS Act becomes law. Such legislation would provide legal clarity for stablecoin issuers, reduce operational risks, and open doors to broader financial integration.

The Coinbase Factor: A Hidden Obstacle for Ripple?

One often-overlooked complication in this potential deal is Coinbase’s existing stake in Circle. While the exact size of Coinbase’s ownership remains undisclosed, it is well known that the U.S.-based exchange has maintained a minority equity position in Circle since their early partnership days.

This connection creates a potential conflict of interest. Coinbase relies heavily on USDC as its primary dollar-pegged stablecoin across trading pairs, wallet services, and DeFi integrations. Acquiring Circle outright could give Ripple control over a key competitor’s infrastructure—a scenario Coinbase may strongly resist.

Could this lead to a bidding war? It’s not impossible. If Ripple pushes forward with its alleged $20 billion offer, Coinbase might be incentivized to increase its stake or even launch a counteroffer to protect its strategic interests in USDC.

But such a move would depend on several factors:

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Market Implications: What’s at Stake?

A successful acquisition of Circle by Ripple would have far-reaching consequences:

FAQ: Your Questions Answered

Q: Is Ripple officially acquiring Circle?
A: As of now, there is no official confirmation from either company regarding an acquisition. All reports remain speculative.

Q: Why would Ripple want to buy Circle?
A: Acquiring Circle would allow Ripple to control USDC—one of the most widely used regulated stablecoins—enhancing its presence in DeFi, payments, and global finance.

Q: What is the STABLE GENIUS Act?
A: It's proposed U.S. legislation designed to establish a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins issued by insured depository institutions, promoting transparency and financial stability.

Q: How does Coinbase’s stake affect the deal?
A: Coinbase’s minority ownership in Circle introduces complexity, potentially leading to resistance or even a competitive bid if Ripple proceeds aggressively.

Q: When will Circle go public?
A: The IPO is expected in summer 2025, following the April 1 S-1 filing with the SEC.

Q: Could Ripple’s $20 billion offer be realistic?
A: While ambitious, such a valuation could be justified if USDC continues gaining adoption and regulatory tailwinds strengthen—particularly if the STABLE GENIUS Act passes.

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Final Thoughts: Independence vs. Integration

While Ripple’s alleged $20 billion bid captures headlines, the most likely outcome may still be Circle moving forward independently through its IPO. The company has strong fundamentals, regulatory compliance credentials, and powerful backing from traditional financial institutions like JPMorgan and Citi.

For Ripple, the path forward may involve strengthening partnerships rather than pursuing costly acquisitions. Alternatively, if regulatory clarity improves and market conditions shift further in favor of consolidation, a revised offer down the line cannot be ruled out.

One thing is certain: as stablecoins become central to both crypto and traditional finance, every move by players like Ripple, Circle, and Coinbase will be watched closely—not just by investors, but by regulators and central banks worldwide.


Core Keywords:
Ripple acquisition, Circle IPO 2025, USDC stablecoin, STABLE GENIUS Act, Coinbase stake in Circle, crypto M&A, digital dollar regulation