5 Key Crypto Trends to Watch in the Second Half of 2025

·

As the crypto market navigates through volatility, protocol innovations, and shifting macroeconomic conditions, investors are turning their attention to the most promising developments shaping the future of decentralized technology. With major upgrades on the horizon and new financial primitives emerging, the second half of 2025 presents a pivotal window for strategic positioning. Below, we explore five core trends that could define the next phase of growth in blockchain and digital assets.

The Merge and Ethereum’s Evolution

The transition of Ethereum from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), commonly known as The Merge, remains one of the most anticipated milestones in crypto history. While the initial shift has already occurred, its long-term implications are only beginning to unfold.

By eliminating energy-intensive mining, Ethereum has reduced its environmental footprint by over 99%, addressing key concerns from ESG-focused investors. This shift not only aligns with global sustainability goals but also enhances Ethereum's appeal to institutional capital.

👉 Discover how staking is reshaping Ethereum’s economic model

Beyond environmental benefits, The Merge unlocks a roadmap for scalability improvements such as Danksharding, Proto-danksharding, and EIP-4488—aimed at reducing data costs for Layer 2 solutions. These upgrades will significantly improve transaction throughput and lower fees across the network.

Additionally, the introduction of Proposer-Builder Separation (PBS) helps mitigate MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) risks by decoupling block production from validation, increasing fairness and decentralization.

With core developers now freed from Merge-related tasks, focus has shifted toward accelerating post-Merge upgrades—making this an ideal time for developers and investors to engage with the ecosystem.

ETH Supply Dynamics and Staking Growth

The move to PoS has transformed ETH into a yield-bearing asset. Combined with EIP-1559’s fee-burning mechanism, Ethereum is now on a path toward deflationary supply under normal usage conditions.

Moreover, over 12.97 million ETH are already staked—representing more than 10% of total supply. As Shanghai upgrades enable withdrawals, liquidity in the staking ecosystem is expected to increase, revitalizing interest in Liquid Staking Derivatives (LSDs) like Lido, Rocket Pool, and StakeWise.

These protocols, which previously traded at discounts during market stress, are regaining parity and could see accelerated adoption as confidence returns.

Layer 2 Expansion and Token Launches

Layer 2 (L2) scaling solutions continue to gain momentum, offering users fast, low-cost transactions while maintaining Ethereum’s security. Both Optimistic Rollups and ZK-Rollups are proving essential to mass adoption.

Total Value Locked (TVL) across Ethereum L2s exceeds $3.81 billion, with usage metrics nearing all-time highs. Native applications such as dYdX, GMX, and Perpetual Protocol are driving billions in trading volume—demonstrating strong product-market fit.

Notably, Optimism’s launch of its native token OP in Q2 triggered a 5.5% increase in network revenue, while Ethereum L1 saw a 46.3% decline. This highlights how token incentives can stimulate economic activity within ecosystems.

With Arbitrum, zkSync, and StarkWare among others expected to launch or distribute tokens in late 2025, opportunities for early participation—through governance voting or potential airdrops—are growing.

👉 Learn how to identify upcoming L2 token opportunities

How to Participate:

The Rise of the Cosmos Ecosystem

Cosmos is positioning itself as the “Internet of Blockchains,” enabling developers to build application-specific blockchains using the Cosmos SDK. These so-called appchains offer sovereignty, customization, and performance tailored to specific use cases.

A major catalyst came when dYdX, one of the largest decentralized perpetual exchanges, announced plans to launch its V4 as a Cosmos-based appchain. Given dYdX’s history of adopting cutting-edge infrastructure (e.g., early use of Starkware), this signals broader industry validation.

Appchains benefit from Inter-Blockchain Communication (IBC)—a trust-minimized protocol allowing seamless asset transfers across more than 30 connected chains. Additionally, upcoming upgrades will allow smaller chains to outsource security to the Cosmos Hub via Interchain Security.

While challenges remain—such as past outages on Osmosis and limited cross-chain access—the influx of capital and talent following high-profile migrations like dYdX could accelerate ecosystem maturity.

How to Participate:

ERC-4626: The Future of Yield Aggregation

Despite declining yields across DeFi in recent quarters, a new standard is poised to revolutionize how users earn returns: ERC-4626.

This tokenized vault standard—built as an extension of ERC-20—enables seamless integration of yield-bearing tokens across lending platforms, AMMs, and liquidity pools. Think of it as the unifying interface for DeFi strategies.

Protocols like Aave have already implemented recursive leverage strategies (e.g., stETH/ETH) using 4626 vaults. Others such as Index Coop (icETH), Galleon DAO (ETHMAXY), Timeless Finance, and Astaria are building native products compliant with the standard.

Benefits of ERC-4626:

As adoption grows, users will increasingly hold tokenized yield strategies rather than depositing directly into multiple protocols. This shift simplifies participation and improves user experience across wallets, dashboards, and aggregators.

DAOs and protocols embracing ERC-4626 early stand to gain significant traction as DeFi evolves toward modular, strategy-based finance.

Macroeconomic Pressures and Market Correlation

While technological progress continues, macroeconomic factors remain a headwind. Rising interest rates, inflationary pressures, and balance sheet contractions by central banks—particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve—have weighed heavily on risk assets.

Both equities and bonds posted some of their worst performances in decades during early 2025. As a result, crypto markets are no longer isolated; Bitcoin now shows a correlation of 0.85 with the S&P 500, reflecting increased institutional integration.

Major assets like BTC and ETH remain down approximately 71% and 79% from their all-time highs, while many mid-cap and small-cap projects have fallen over 85%.

Though these conditions may delay short-term price recovery, they do not diminish the long-term value proposition of blockchain technology or Web3 innovation.

👉 Explore strategies for navigating volatile markets

Instead, periods of consolidation often lay the groundwork for stronger adoption cycles ahead—especially as real-world utility expands beyond speculation.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: What is The Merge’s impact on ETH price?
A: By reducing issuance and enabling fee burning via EIP-1559, The Merge sets ETH on a deflationary trajectory under normal network usage—historically bullish for asset value.

Q: When will more L2 tokens be launched?
A: While exact dates vary, several major L2s—including Arbitrum and zkSync—are expected to launch or distribute governance tokens in Q3 or Q4 of 2025.

Q: Why are appchains gaining popularity?
A: Appchains offer dedicated resources, customizable logic, and better user experience compared to shared-layer models—ideal for high-performance applications like perpetual exchanges.

Q: How does ERC-4626 improve DeFi yields?
A: It standardizes yield-bearing vaults, enabling automated compounding, better capital efficiency, and easier integration across platforms—lowering barriers for both users and developers.

Q: Is crypto still correlated with traditional markets?
A: Yes. Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 reached 0.85 in 2025 due to overlapping investor bases and macro-driven risk sentiment.

Q: Can staking rewards offset market downturns?
A: While not immune to price volatility, staking provides passive income and long-term exposure to network growth—making it a strategic tool during bear markets.


Keywords: Ethereum Merge, Layer 2 scaling, Cosmos ecosystem, ERC-4626 standard, DeFi yield optimization, blockchain appchains, crypto market trends